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Trader leaderboard/bosshog

bosshog

0x47ab026767cc320ac6e62f6ec747d59cf4d795df
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,158
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+5.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
35W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
35W / 0L
Trades (30d)
35
across 3 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
+$385.83
avg win $386
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$188
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $63,149 · all-time $27,044,486

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.0% 182W/182L 52 $158,022
🏛 Politics 88.5% 23W/3L 9 $25,985
💵 Economy 66.7% 6W/3L 2 $1,567

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 68,155 0.977 $66,553.27 $4,198.34 +6.7%
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No 27,162 0.940 $25,532.59 $2,557.90 +11.1%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 11,437 0.940 $10,745.29 $3,204.92 +42.5%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 10,658 0.970 $10,338.43 $355.11 +3.6%
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No 4,244 0.965 $4,093.03 $1,037.83 +34.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 30,000 0.135 $4,049.97 $-1,524.05 -27.3%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 6,000 0.675 $4,049.95 $383.01 +10.4%
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No 3,595 0.958 $3,441.80 $1,035.88 +43.1%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No 3,109 0.935 $2,906.55 $1,729.43 +146.9%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 2,500 0.995 $2,487.50 $57.50 +2.4%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 2,696 0.900 $2,426.38 $1,927.20 +386.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 2,000 0.969 $1,936.99 $4.00 +0.2%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 2,000 0.910 $1,819.98 $220.00 +13.8%
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No 1,464 0.945 $1,383.71 $834.80 +152.1%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No 1,000 0.915 $915.01 $66.43 +7.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 904 0.835 $754.84 $-13.56 -1.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No 726 0.964 $699.59 $343.80 +96.6%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 5,000 0.135 $675.00 $-424.99 -38.6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 1,000 0.645 $644.99 $85.00 +15.2%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 1,000 0.625 $625.00 $35.00 +5.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 44,000 0.008 $352.00 $196.11 +125.8%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 500 0.680 $339.81 $28.69 +9.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 500 0.625 $312.50 $-122.50 -28.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 255 0.955 $243.74 $136.55 +127.4%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 4,801 0.043 $204.05 $60.02 +41.7%