Log in
Trader leaderboard/bosshog

bosshog

0x47ab026767cc320ac6e62f6ec747d59cf4d795df
PnL (30d)
−$342
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$195
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
182W / 182L · 208 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
327W / 245L
Trades (30d)
572
across 52 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
−$10.35
avg win $158 · loss $306
Profit Factor
0.91
$3,325 won / $3,666 lost
Reward / Risk
0.52
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$188
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,149 · all-time $27,000,486

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.0% 182W/182L 52 $158,022
🏛 Politics 88.5% 23W/3L 9 $26,219
💵 Economy 66.7% 6W/3L 2 $1,567

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 68,155 0.976 $66,485.12 $4,130.19 +6.6%
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No 27,162 0.940 $25,532.59 $2,557.90 +11.1%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 11,437 0.940 $10,745.29 $3,204.92 +42.5%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 10,658 0.967 $10,301.12 $317.81 +3.2%
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No 4,244 0.963 $4,084.54 $1,029.35 +33.7%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 30,000 0.135 $4,049.97 $-1,524.05 -27.3%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 6,000 0.675 $4,049.95 $383.01 +10.4%
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No 3,595 0.957 $3,440.00 $1,034.08 +43.0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No 3,109 0.935 $2,906.55 $1,729.43 +146.9%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 2,500 0.997 $2,492.50 $62.50 +2.6%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 2,696 0.900 $2,426.38 $1,927.20 +386.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 2,000 0.965 $1,928.99 $-4.00 -0.2%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 2,000 0.905 $1,809.98 $210.00 +13.1%
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No 1,464 0.945 $1,383.71 $834.80 +152.1%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No 1,000 0.915 $915.01 $66.43 +7.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 904 0.835 $754.84 $-13.56 -1.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No 726 0.964 $699.59 $343.80 +96.6%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 5,000 0.135 $675.00 $-424.99 -38.6%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 1,000 0.655 $654.99 $95.00 +17.0%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 1,000 0.625 $625.00 $35.00 +5.9%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 500 0.680 $339.81 $28.69 +9.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 500 0.625 $312.50 $-122.50 -28.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 255 0.955 $243.74 $136.55 +127.4%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 4,801 0.043 $204.05 $60.02 +41.7%
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? No 146 0.935 $136.51 $3.65 +2.7%