Gustav4
0x471abf0558dcd381dcea2fdf54390760c9a30328
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3,876
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$44
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
165W / 86L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
165W / 89L
Trades (30d)
254
across 21 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$193.81
avg win $90 · loss $855
Profit Factor
0.24
$1,254 won / $5,130 lost
Reward / Risk
0.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$144
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $28,031 · all-time $12,935,430
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
No |
3,165 |
1.000 |
$3,163.22 |
$2.91 |
+0.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
2,500 |
1.000 |
$2,498.75 |
$1.25 |
+0.1% |