Gustav4
0x471abf0558dcd381dcea2fdf54390760c9a30328
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$3,876
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-9.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
165W / 86L
Win Return (30d)
66%
165W / 86L
Trades (30d)
251
across 20 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
−$193.81
avg win $90 · loss $855
Profit Factor
0.24
$1,254 won / $5,130 lost
Reward / Risk
0.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$144
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,257 · all-time $12,926,656
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.029 |
$14.25 |
$-29.95 |
-67.8% |