| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
9,929 |
0.117 |
$1,156.73 |
$-91.56 |
-7.3% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
3,355 |
0.184 |
$618.99 |
$-48.33 |
-7.2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
602 |
0.945 |
$569.07 |
$19.81 |
+3.6% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
5,326 |
0.065 |
$346.21 |
$-76.64 |
-18.1% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
11,637 |
0.029 |
$343.28 |
$-8.30 |
-2.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
3,280 |
0.095 |
$311.61 |
$-113.30 |
-26.7% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
289 |
0.895 |
$258.44 |
$2.64 |
+1.0% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
933 |
0.255 |
$238.03 |
$-185.56 |
-43.8% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
1,257 |
0.175 |
$219.95 |
$-53.90 |
-19.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
809 |
0.259 |
$209.06 |
$-4.87 |
-2.3% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
1,855 |
0.101 |
$186.46 |
$150.05 |
+412.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
4,472 |
0.040 |
$176.65 |
$1.84 |
+1.1% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? |
Yes |
6,420 |
0.025 |
$163.06 |
$-21.78 |
-11.8% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
2,948 |
0.055 |
$162.12 |
$-252.46 |
-60.9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
Yes |
2,838 |
0.055 |
$156.09 |
$-75.11 |
-32.5% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
119 |
0.983 |
$116.75 |
$0.40 |
+0.3% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? |
Yes |
122 |
0.947 |
$115.46 |
$0.91 |
+0.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
179 |
0.645 |
$115.19 |
$13.52 |
+13.3% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
135 |
0.845 |
$114.12 |
$-1.45 |
-1.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
449 |
0.209 |
$93.96 |
$21.91 |
+30.4% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
13,195 |
0.006 |
$79.17 |
$-60.08 |
-43.1% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
14,608 |
0.004 |
$65.74 |
$-146.28 |
-69.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
309 |
0.146 |
$45.29 |
$26.21 |
+137.3% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
21,089 |
0.002 |
$31.63 |
$-126.51 |
-80.0% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
12,290 |
0.003 |
$30.73 |
$-167.02 |
-84.5% |