| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
9,929 |
0.117 |
$1,156.73 |
$-91.56 |
-7.3% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
3,355 |
0.184 |
$618.99 |
$-48.33 |
-7.2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
602 |
0.945 |
$569.07 |
$19.81 |
+3.6% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
11,653 |
0.029 |
$343.76 |
$-8.23 |
-2.3% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
5,096 |
0.065 |
$331.21 |
$-73.31 |
-18.1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
3,280 |
0.095 |
$311.61 |
$-113.30 |
-26.7% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
324 |
0.880 |
$284.90 |
$-2.04 |
-0.7% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
933 |
0.256 |
$238.50 |
$-185.09 |
-43.7% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
1,257 |
0.175 |
$219.95 |
$-53.90 |
-19.7% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
1,855 |
0.100 |
$185.53 |
$149.12 |
+409.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
4,472 |
0.039 |
$174.41 |
$-0.40 |
-0.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
622 |
0.270 |
$167.87 |
$3.40 |
+2.1% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? |
Yes |
6,450 |
0.025 |
$163.82 |
$-21.75 |
-11.7% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
2,948 |
0.055 |
$162.12 |
$-252.46 |
-60.9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
Yes |
2,838 |
0.055 |
$156.09 |
$-75.11 |
-32.5% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
119 |
0.984 |
$116.81 |
$0.46 |
+0.4% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? |
Yes |
122 |
0.947 |
$115.46 |
$0.91 |
+0.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
179 |
0.645 |
$115.19 |
$13.52 |
+13.3% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
135 |
0.845 |
$114.12 |
$-1.45 |
-1.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
449 |
0.209 |
$93.96 |
$21.91 |
+30.4% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
13,195 |
0.005 |
$72.57 |
$-66.67 |
-47.9% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
14,608 |
0.004 |
$65.74 |
$-146.28 |
-69.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
309 |
0.151 |
$46.84 |
$27.75 |
+145.4% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
21,089 |
0.002 |
$31.63 |
$-126.51 |
-80.0% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
12,290 |
0.003 |
$30.73 |
$-167.02 |
-84.5% |