PnL (30d)

+$541

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$52

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+125.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

8%

56W / 687L · 117 open

Win Return (30d)

7%

58W / 802L

Trades (30d)

860

across 38 markets · ~23 per market

EV / position

+$20.03

avg win $57 · loss $5

Profit Factor

7.63

$622 won / $82 lost

Reward / Risk

11.10

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.0% 583W/1,363L	279	$2,149
🌤 Weather	33.2% 64W/129L	31	$127
⚽ Sports	50.0% 1W/1L	10	$101
₿ Crypto	100.0% 3W/0L	5	$4
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	5	$8
🏛 Politics	—	2	$8
🎬 Culture	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	3,889	0.009	$33.06	$-1.94	-5.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	8	0.465	$3.87	$-1.12	-22.5%
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	2,500	0.002	$3.75	$-1.25	-25.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea?	Yes	6,000	0.001	$3.00	$-3.00	-50.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	100	0.025	$2.54	$-0.66	-20.6%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	217	0.011	$2.50	$-2.50	-50.0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.003	$2.50	$-0.50	-16.7%
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	26	0.095	$2.50	$-2.50	-50.0%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10	0.213	$2.13	$-0.59	-21.5%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	58	0.029	$1.71	$-0.29	-14.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	Yes	5	0.270	$1.35	$0.35	+35.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	Yes	21	0.059	$1.24	$0.24	+23.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	2	0.575	$1.22	$0.22	+22.3%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	Yes	302	0.004	$1.21	$-0.66	-35.5%
Will New York Mets win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	2,361	0.001	$1.18	$-1.18	-50.0%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	14	0.060	$0.86	$-0.14	-14.3%
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	128	0.006	$0.83	$-0.39	-31.9%
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	34	0.011	$0.36	$-0.64	-63.8%
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	663	0.001	$0.33	$-0.33	-50.0%
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	200	0.002	$0.30	$-0.70	-70.0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	200	0.002	$0.30	$-0.20	-40.0%
Will Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	105	0.001	$0.05	$-0.05	-50.0%