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Trader leaderboard/0x468218a8e2dfaf7da85bE422bce8b97cDc0B4d40-1774522804970

0x468218a8e2dfaf7da85bE422bce8b97cDc0B4d40-1774522804970

0x468218a8e2dfaf7da85be422bce8b97cdc0b4d40
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 6L
Trades (30d)
6
across 6 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $22,452 · all-time $723,996

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 30.0% 583W/1,363L 279 $2,148
🌤 Weather 33.2% 64W/129L 31 $127
⚽ Sports 50.0% 1W/1L 10 $101
₿ Crypto 100.0% 3W/0L 5 $4
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 5 $8
🏛 Politics 2 $8
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 3,889 0.009 $33.06 $-1.94 -5.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 8 0.455 $3.79 $-1.21 -24.2%
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 2,500 0.002 $3.75 $-1.25 -25.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea? Yes 6,000 0.001 $3.00 $-3.00 -50.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 100 0.025 $2.54 $-0.66 -20.6%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes 217 0.011 $2.50 $-2.50 -50.0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,000 0.003 $2.50 $-0.50 -16.7%
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 26 0.095 $2.50 $-2.50 -50.0%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 10 0.213 $2.13 $-0.59 -21.5%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? Yes 211 0.008 $1.69 $0.09 +5.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? Yes 5 0.250 $1.25 $0.25 +25.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? Yes 21 0.060 $1.25 $0.25 +24.9%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 58 0.021 $1.24 $-0.76 -37.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 2 0.555 $1.18 $0.18 +18.1%
Will New York Mets win the 2026 NL East title? Yes 2,361 0.001 $1.18 $-1.18 -50.0%
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 128 0.006 $0.83 $-0.39 -31.9%
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 1,000 0.001 $0.50 $-0.50 -50.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? Yes 34 0.011 $0.40 $-0.60 -60.3%
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title? Yes 663 0.001 $0.33 $-0.33 -50.0%
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 200 0.002 $0.30 $-0.70 -70.0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 200 0.002 $0.30 $-0.20 -40.0%
Will Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 105 0.001 $0.05 $-0.05 -50.0%