PnL (30d)

+$227

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+6.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

60%

178W / 119L · 14 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

185W / 126L

Trades (30d)

311

across 67 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$3.67

avg win $18 · loss $24

Profit Factor

1.45

$732 won / $505 lost

Reward / Risk

0.74

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$48

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.9% 438W/237L	132	$15,378
🏛 Politics	64.7% 33W/18L	17	$1,685
🎬 Culture	64.7% 33W/18L	17	$1,685
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$54

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	745	0.145	$107.98	$-177.43	-62.2%
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	108	0.630	$67.92	$1.08	+1.6%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	92	0.565	$51.86	$-1.28	-2.4%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?	No	48	0.910	$43.85	$3.86	+9.6%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9?	No	42	0.953	$39.98	$-0.02	-0.1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9?	No	41	0.963	$39.83	$-0.17	-0.4%
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	51	0.655	$33.34	$7.38	+28.4%
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	54	0.605	$32.86	$-2.13	-6.1%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	39	0.760	$29.99	$2.76	+10.1%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	45	0.505	$22.81	$-5.19	-18.5%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	107	0.180	$19.23	$-12.38	-39.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?	No	21	0.725	$15.35	$3.92	+34.3%