PnL (30d)

+$302

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$26

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

65%

438W / 237L · 26 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

451W / 249L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

701

across 131 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$2.54

avg win $17 · loss $25

Profit Factor

1.29

$1,340 won / $1,038 lost

Reward / Risk

0.70

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$112

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.9% 438W/237L	131	$15,295
🏛 Politics	64.7% 33W/18L	16	$1,659
🎬 Culture	64.7% 33W/18L	16	$1,659
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$54

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	745	0.145	$107.98	$-177.43	-62.2%
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	108	0.620	$66.84	$0.00	+0.0%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	92	0.560	$51.41	$-1.73	-3.3%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?	No	48	0.870	$41.93	$1.93	+4.8%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9?	No	42	0.952	$39.96	$-0.04	-0.1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 3-9?	No	41	0.963	$39.81	$-0.19	-0.5%
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	54	0.615	$33.41	$-1.59	-4.5%
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	51	0.580	$29.52	$3.56	+13.7%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	45	0.530	$23.93	$-4.06	-14.5%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	107	0.180	$19.23	$-12.38	-39.2%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	30	0.415	$12.60	$-9.26	-42.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?	No	21	0.575	$12.17	$0.74	+6.5%