| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,405 |
0.750 |
$1,053.75 |
$-6.39 |
-0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.650 |
$519.94 |
$98.99 |
+23.5% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
No |
628 |
0.750 |
$471.21 |
$286.63 |
+155.3% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
521 |
0.875 |
$455.88 |
$4.61 |
+1.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
No |
366 |
0.905 |
$331.48 |
$86.05 |
+35.1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
400 |
0.745 |
$298.00 |
$41.00 |
+16.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
326 |
0.830 |
$270.73 |
$88.07 |
+48.2% |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? |
No |
332 |
0.730 |
$242.64 |
$109.99 |
+82.9% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
No |
300 |
0.735 |
$220.50 |
$42.50 |
+23.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
340 |
0.635 |
$215.90 |
$-3.70 |
-1.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
210 |
0.895 |
$188.26 |
$48.92 |
+35.1% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.885 |
$177.00 |
$31.00 |
+21.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
180 |
0.852 |
$153.39 |
$16.86 |
+12.4% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.375 |
$112.48 |
$2.50 |
+2.3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
118 |
0.905 |
$106.45 |
$29.23 |
+37.8% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.910 |
$91.00 |
$15.00 |
+19.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.450 |
$90.00 |
$-14.00 |
-13.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.835 |
$83.50 |
$17.50 |
+26.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.775 |
$77.50 |
$11.50 |
+17.4% |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 |
Pacquiao |
100 |
0.485 |
$48.50 |
$14.50 |
+42.6% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.470 |
$47.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
74 |
0.590 |
$43.43 |
$16.69 |
+62.4% |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? |
Yes |
700 |
0.043 |
$29.75 |
$-178.24 |
-85.7% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.335 |
$4.37 |
$1.37 |
+45.7% |