| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,405 |
0.755 |
$1,060.78 |
$0.63 |
+0.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.655 |
$523.94 |
$102.99 |
+24.5% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
521 |
0.875 |
$455.88 |
$4.61 |
+1.0% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
No |
628 |
0.725 |
$455.50 |
$270.93 |
+146.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
No |
366 |
0.905 |
$331.48 |
$86.05 |
+35.1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
400 |
0.745 |
$298.00 |
$41.00 |
+16.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
326 |
0.830 |
$270.73 |
$88.07 |
+48.2% |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? |
No |
332 |
0.720 |
$239.32 |
$106.67 |
+80.4% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
No |
300 |
0.740 |
$222.00 |
$44.00 |
+24.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
340 |
0.645 |
$219.30 |
$-0.30 |
-0.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
210 |
0.890 |
$187.20 |
$47.86 |
+34.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.885 |
$177.00 |
$31.00 |
+21.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
180 |
0.850 |
$152.94 |
$16.41 |
+12.0% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.375 |
$112.48 |
$2.50 |
+2.3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
118 |
0.905 |
$106.45 |
$29.23 |
+37.8% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.915 |
$91.50 |
$15.50 |
+20.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.435 |
$87.00 |
$-17.00 |
-16.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.845 |
$84.50 |
$18.50 |
+28.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.775 |
$77.50 |
$11.50 |
+17.4% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.495 |
$49.50 |
$2.50 |
+5.3% |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 |
Pacquiao |
100 |
0.475 |
$47.50 |
$13.50 |
+39.7% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
74 |
0.595 |
$43.80 |
$17.05 |
+63.8% |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? |
Yes |
700 |
0.043 |
$29.75 |
$-178.24 |
-85.7% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.320 |
$4.17 |
$1.17 |
+39.1% |