PnL (30d)

+$1,800

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2,162

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+9.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

56W / 83L · 45 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

61W / 123L

Trades (30d)

184

across 22 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$105.91

avg win $1,105 · loss $439

Profit Factor

1.37

$6,629 won / $4,828 lost

Reward / Risk

2.52

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.3% 56W/83L	22	$36,587
🏛 Politics	—	1	$32

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	68,713	0.080	$5,497.04	$-2,993.00	-35.3%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	4,612	0.031	$142.96	$-689.27	-82.8%
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	100	0.695	$69.49	$24.49	+54.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	1	0.935	$1.29	$0.19	+16.9%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	Yes	22	0.013	$0.30	$-5.79	-95.1%