PnL (30d)

−$30

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,302

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 1L · 79 open

Win Return (30d)

31%

25W / 55L

Trades (30d)

80

across 11 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$30.30

· loss $30

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $30 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	62.6% 271W/162L	191	$128,281
⚽ Sports	59.7% 83W/56L	72	$29,282
🏛 Politics	—	7	$7,489
🎬 Culture	—	2	$504
🌤 Weather	—	1	$300
🔬 Science	—	1	$300
💵 Economy	—	1	$500

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	27,005	0.460	$12,408.60	$1,307.43	+11.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7,248	0.184	$1,337.21	$-67.95	-4.8%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7,237	0.151	$1,096.35	$70.78	+6.9%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	2,235	0.488	$1,090.79	$-9.21	-0.8%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	1,992	0.525	$1,045.83	$-115.63	-10.0%
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Yes	1,277	0.777	$992.64	$188.95	+23.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,833	0.539	$989.10	$189.10	+23.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	2,350	0.385	$904.77	$-95.22	-9.5%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	2,051	0.395	$810.26	$10.26	+1.3%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	1,217	0.595	$724.34	$124.34	+20.7%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1,106	0.525	$580.56	$80.57	+16.1%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	941	0.515	$484.84	$-15.16	-3.0%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	1,042	0.415	$432.29	$-67.71	-13.5%
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	1,923	0.215	$413.46	$-86.54	-17.3%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	548	0.745	$407.65	$7.65	+1.9%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7,215	0.049	$349.91	$-11.15	-3.1%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	597	0.585	$349.25	$49.25	+16.4%
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Yes	2,487	0.129	$320.77	$-606.72	-65.4%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Emma Navarro	Emma Navarro	577	0.525	$302.88	$2.88	+1.0%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	267	0.853	$227.74	$27.74	+13.9%
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	513	0.371	$190.25	$-13.75	-6.7%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	426	0.232	$98.82	$-1.18	-1.2%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	541	0.055	$29.73	$-70.27	-70.3%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2	0.405	$0.99	$-0.01	-1.2%