| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
27,005 |
0.460 |
$12,408.60 |
$1,307.43 |
+11.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
7,248 |
0.184 |
$1,337.21 |
$-67.95 |
-4.8% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
7,237 |
0.151 |
$1,096.35 |
$70.78 |
+6.9% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
2,235 |
0.490 |
$1,095.26 |
$-4.74 |
-0.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,992 |
0.515 |
$1,025.91 |
$-135.55 |
-11.7% |
| Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? |
Yes |
1,277 |
0.777 |
$992.64 |
$188.95 |
+23.5% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
1,833 |
0.540 |
$990.93 |
$190.94 |
+23.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
2,350 |
0.375 |
$881.27 |
$-118.73 |
-11.9% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
2,051 |
0.395 |
$810.26 |
$10.26 |
+1.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,106 |
0.515 |
$569.51 |
$69.51 |
+13.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
941 |
0.515 |
$484.84 |
$-15.16 |
-3.0% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? |
No |
1,042 |
0.415 |
$432.29 |
$-67.71 |
-13.5% |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
1,923 |
0.215 |
$413.46 |
$-86.54 |
-17.3% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
548 |
0.745 |
$407.65 |
$7.65 |
+1.9% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
7,215 |
0.049 |
$349.91 |
$-11.15 |
-3.1% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
597 |
0.580 |
$346.27 |
$46.27 |
+15.4% |
| Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? |
Yes |
2,487 |
0.129 |
$320.77 |
$-606.72 |
-65.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
267 |
0.853 |
$227.74 |
$27.74 |
+13.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? |
Down |
1,110 |
0.190 |
$210.93 |
$-339.07 |
-61.6% |
| Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? |
Yes |
513 |
0.356 |
$182.56 |
$-21.44 |
-10.5% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? |
Yes |
426 |
0.232 |
$98.82 |
$-1.18 |
-1.2% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
541 |
0.055 |
$29.73 |
$-70.27 |
-70.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2 |
0.405 |
$0.99 |
$-0.01 |
-1.2% |