PnL (30d)

+$164

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$66

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+28.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

28%

13W / 33L · 73 open

Win Return (30d)

11%

13W / 106L

Trades (30d)

119

across 23 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$10.27

avg win $82 · loss $14

Profit Factor

2.00

$329 won / $165 lost

Reward / Risk

5.99

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$52

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.5% 5,566W/3,058L	1831	$50,585
₿ Crypto	74.3% 165W/57L	59	$1,214
💵 Economy	42.1% 8W/11L	12	$543
🤖 Tech	—	6	$411

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	Yes	37	0.355	$13.05	$-2.62	-16.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?	Yes	119	0.105	$12.53	$1.43	+12.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	32	0.345	$10.96	$-0.44	-3.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	62	0.175	$10.89	$-0.83	-7.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	Yes	21	0.225	$4.74	$-3.26	-40.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	Yes	75	0.060	$4.50	$-1.50	-25.0%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	25	0.165	$4.20	$-5.47	-56.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	Yes	55	0.065	$3.55	$-2.45	-40.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	Yes	41	0.041	$1.68	$-0.37	-18.0%
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	2	0.148	$0.28	$-0.16	-36.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	1	0.155	$0.16	$-0.15	-49.7%
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	2	0.050	$0.10	$-0.08	-44.4%