PnL (30d)

−$324

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$77

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

65%

5,566W / 3,058L · 93 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

5,566W / 3,141L · 10 open

Trades (30d)

8,717

across 1,831 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$0.18

avg win $8 · loss $11

Profit Factor

0.96

$8,109 won / $8,433 lost

Reward / Risk

0.73

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$406

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.5% 5,566W/3,058L	1831	$50,585
₿ Crypto	71.3% 169W/68L	60	$1,258
💵 Economy	48.0% 12W/13L	12	$573
🤖 Tech	—	6	$411

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	Yes	37	0.355	$13.05	$-2.62	-16.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?	Yes	119	0.105	$12.53	$1.43	+12.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	32	0.345	$10.96	$-0.44	-3.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	62	0.175	$10.89	$-0.83	-7.1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?	Down	25	0.325	$8.27	$-1.40	-14.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	Yes	75	0.065	$4.88	$-1.12	-18.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	Yes	21	0.205	$4.32	$-3.68	-46.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	Yes	55	0.075	$4.09	$-1.91	-31.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	Yes	41	0.041	$1.68	$-0.37	-18.0%
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	2	0.161	$0.30	$-0.14	-31.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	1	0.165	$0.17	$-0.14	-46.5%
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	2	0.045	$0.09	$-0.09	-50.0%