Trader
0x441698a004d04eccde0bc48fa3a3185244c2a6a6
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$35
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-17.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
20W / 23L
Win Return (30d)
47%
20W / 23L
Trades (30d)
43
across 32 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.08
avg win $3 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.58
$48 won / $82 lost
Reward / Risk
0.66
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $132 · all-time $43,314
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Carson Carels win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? |
Yes |
368 |
0.048 |
$17.46 |
$11.46 |
+191.0% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
409 |
0.015 |
$6.35 |
$-13.65 |
-68.3% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
278 |
0.018 |
$4.86 |
$-0.14 |
-2.8% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? |
Yes |
27 |
0.155 |
$4.22 |
$-0.78 |
-15.7% |
| Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 245M? |
Yes |
5 |
0.755 |
$3.77 |
$-1.18 |
-23.7% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.390 |
$0.41 |
$0.19 |
+83.1% |