PnL (30d)

−$149

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

43%

83W / 110L · 65 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

84W / 166L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

258

across 143 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$1.17

avg win $2 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.46

$129 won / $278 lost

Reward / Risk

0.54

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$10

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.0% 83W/110L	143	$1,336
₿ Crypto	60.0% 3W/2L	2	$26
🏛 Politics	—	1	$75

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Carson Carels win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	368	0.048	$17.46	$11.46	+191.0%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	409	0.015	$5.94	$-14.06	-70.3%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?	Yes	27	0.160	$4.35	$-0.65	-12.9%
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 245M?	Yes	5	0.755	$3.77	$-1.18	-23.7%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1	0.390	$0.41	$0.19	+83.1%