| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.983 |
$196.60 |
$0.40 |
+0.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.978 |
$195.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.3% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.955 |
$190.90 |
$-0.30 |
-0.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
100 |
0.930 |
$93.00 |
$3.00 |
+3.3% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? |
No |
100 |
0.908 |
$90.85 |
$-2.05 |
-2.2% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.908 |
$90.85 |
$-3.55 |
-3.8% |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
100 |
0.845 |
$84.50 |
$-7.00 |
-7.7% |
| Trump on $250 bill this year? |
No |
80 |
0.973 |
$77.80 |
$-0.28 |
-0.4% |
| GTA VI released before November 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.971 |
$77.68 |
$0.40 |
+0.5% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU? |
No |
80 |
0.970 |
$77.60 |
$-1.12 |
-1.4% |
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? |
Yes |
100 |
0.764 |
$76.40 |
$-11.70 |
-13.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.975 |
$73.09 |
$0.41 |
+0.6% |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? |
No |
76 |
0.948 |
$72.05 |
$-0.91 |
-1.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.996 |
$69.94 |
$1.47 |
+2.2% |
| Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? |
No |
75 |
0.924 |
$69.34 |
$0.26 |
+0.4% |
| Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? |
No |
75 |
0.921 |
$69.11 |
$-1.16 |
-1.7% |
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? |
Yes |
100 |
0.665 |
$66.50 |
$-9.50 |
-12.5% |
| Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? |
No |
75 |
0.866 |
$64.95 |
$-3.45 |
-5.0% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.785 |
$62.80 |
$-8.00 |
-11.3% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? |
No |
50 |
0.989 |
$49.45 |
$0.45 |
+0.9% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? |
No |
50 |
0.987 |
$49.33 |
$0.33 |
+0.7% |
| Will Caitlin Clark have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? |
No |
50 |
0.987 |
$49.33 |
$0.93 |
+1.9% |
| Will the New York Yankees have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? |
No |
50 |
0.985 |
$49.25 |
$0.20 |
+0.4% |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? |
No |
50 |
0.968 |
$48.40 |
$0.60 |
+1.3% |
| Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.966 |
$48.27 |
$0.17 |
+0.4% |