| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.984 |
$196.80 |
$0.60 |
+0.3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.981 |
$196.10 |
$1.10 |
+0.6% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.952 |
$190.30 |
$-0.90 |
-0.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
100 |
0.940 |
$94.00 |
$4.00 |
+4.4% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.908 |
$90.85 |
$-3.55 |
-3.8% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? |
No |
100 |
0.907 |
$90.70 |
$-2.20 |
-2.4% |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
100 |
0.851 |
$85.10 |
$-6.40 |
-7.0% |
| Trump on $250 bill this year? |
No |
80 |
0.973 |
$77.80 |
$-0.28 |
-0.4% |
| GTA VI released before November 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.971 |
$77.68 |
$0.40 |
+0.5% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU? |
No |
80 |
0.970 |
$77.56 |
$-1.16 |
-1.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.975 |
$73.12 |
$0.45 |
+0.6% |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? |
No |
76 |
0.948 |
$72.05 |
$-0.91 |
-1.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.996 |
$69.94 |
$1.47 |
+2.2% |
| Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? |
No |
75 |
0.924 |
$69.30 |
$-0.97 |
-1.4% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.850 |
$68.00 |
$-2.80 |
-4.0% |
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? |
Yes |
100 |
0.660 |
$66.05 |
$-22.05 |
-25.0% |
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? |
Yes |
100 |
0.655 |
$65.50 |
$-10.50 |
-13.8% |
| Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? |
No |
75 |
0.867 |
$65.03 |
$-3.38 |
-4.9% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? |
No |
50 |
0.987 |
$49.33 |
$0.33 |
+0.7% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? |
No |
50 |
0.985 |
$49.25 |
$0.25 |
+0.5% |
| Will the New York Yankees have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? |
No |
50 |
0.985 |
$49.25 |
$0.20 |
+0.4% |
| Will Caitlin Clark have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? |
No |
50 |
0.979 |
$48.95 |
$0.55 |
+1.1% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? |
No |
52 |
0.946 |
$48.79 |
$2.87 |
+6.2% |
| Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.964 |
$48.20 |
$0.10 |
+0.2% |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? |
No |
50 |
0.960 |
$47.98 |
$0.17 |
+0.4% |