| Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,565 |
0.927 |
$1,451.54 |
$-32.87 |
-2.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,600 |
0.835 |
$1,336.00 |
$-8.00 |
-0.6% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
1,361 |
0.855 |
$1,163.48 |
$55.66 |
+5.0% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.983 |
$983.00 |
$3.00 |
+0.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.625 |
$937.50 |
$-16.50 |
-1.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
937 |
0.973 |
$910.82 |
$2.34 |
+0.3% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
810 |
1.000 |
$809.16 |
$7.95 |
+1.0% |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
844 |
0.605 |
$510.58 |
$-48.42 |
-8.7% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? |
No |
516 |
0.860 |
$443.61 |
$2.27 |
+0.5% |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
466 |
0.795 |
$370.47 |
$0.99 |
+0.3% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
687 |
0.325 |
$223.37 |
$-77.01 |
-25.6% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026? |
No |
271 |
0.705 |
$191.15 |
$35.75 |
+23.0% |
| Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 30 be greater than 0.1? |
No |
179 |
0.999 |
$178.73 |
$2.02 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
262 |
0.645 |
$168.99 |
$2.52 |
+1.5% |
| Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? |
No |
147 |
0.941 |
$137.88 |
$-7.18 |
-4.9% |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
170 |
0.720 |
$122.39 |
$-6.10 |
-4.7% |
| Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 30 be exactly 0.1? |
Yes |
262 |
0.440 |
$115.28 |
$25.84 |
+28.9% |
| Will 160 to 189 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? |
No |
139 |
0.799 |
$111.19 |
$-26.49 |
-19.2% |
| Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.992 |
$79.36 |
$0.16 |
+0.2% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.765 |
$76.49 |
$8.50 |
+12.5% |
| Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? |
Yes |
76 |
0.930 |
$71.02 |
$-0.58 |
-0.8% |
| Will 190 to 219 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? |
No |
108 |
0.649 |
$70.13 |
$-36.76 |
-34.4% |
| Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? |
No |
61 |
0.956 |
$58.44 |
$-2.11 |
-3.5% |
| Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 30 be less than 0.1? |
Yes |
62 |
0.750 |
$46.50 |
$-4.96 |
-9.6% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.415 |
$41.50 |
$-1.50 |
-3.5% |