| Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,565 |
0.927 |
$1,451.54 |
$-32.87 |
-2.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,600 |
0.840 |
$1,344.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
1,361 |
0.855 |
$1,163.48 |
$55.66 |
+5.0% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.983 |
$983.00 |
$3.00 |
+0.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.615 |
$922.50 |
$-31.50 |
-3.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
937 |
0.968 |
$906.14 |
$-2.34 |
-0.3% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
810 |
0.994 |
$804.70 |
$3.49 |
+0.4% |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
844 |
0.610 |
$514.80 |
$-44.20 |
-7.9% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? |
No |
516 |
0.860 |
$443.61 |
$2.27 |
+0.5% |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
466 |
0.795 |
$370.47 |
$0.99 |
+0.3% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
687 |
0.320 |
$219.94 |
$-80.45 |
-26.8% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026? |
No |
271 |
0.710 |
$192.50 |
$37.11 |
+23.9% |
| Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 30 be greater than 0.1? |
No |
179 |
0.998 |
$178.64 |
$1.93 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
262 |
0.645 |
$168.99 |
$2.52 |
+1.5% |
| Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? |
No |
147 |
0.961 |
$140.81 |
$-4.25 |
-2.9% |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
170 |
0.735 |
$124.94 |
$-3.55 |
-2.8% |
| Will 160 to 189 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? |
No |
139 |
0.799 |
$111.19 |
$-26.49 |
-19.2% |
| Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.992 |
$79.36 |
$0.16 |
+0.2% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.760 |
$75.99 |
$8.00 |
+11.8% |
| Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 30 be exactly 0.1? |
Yes |
262 |
0.280 |
$73.36 |
$-16.08 |
-18.0% |
| Will 190 to 219 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? |
No |
108 |
0.661 |
$71.37 |
$-35.52 |
-33.2% |
| Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? |
Yes |
76 |
0.925 |
$70.64 |
$-0.96 |
-1.3% |
| Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? |
No |
61 |
0.956 |
$58.44 |
$-2.11 |
-3.5% |
| Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 30 be less than 0.1? |
Yes |
62 |
0.740 |
$45.88 |
$-5.58 |
-10.8% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.415 |
$41.50 |
$-1.50 |
-3.5% |