krisxxi
0x43e2edf8d9b5acc69e419f660b265c5c94535fbd
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
32%
7W / 15L · 66 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
48W / 35L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
88
across 11 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$0.04
avg win $9 · loss $6
Profit Factor
1.01
$18 won / $18 lost
Reward / Risk
1.52
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,021 · all-time $458,619
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.755 |
$377.50 |
$47.50 |
+14.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.355 |
$106.50 |
$4.50 |
+4.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
313 |
0.305 |
$95.36 |
$20.70 |
+27.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.365 |
$36.50 |
$-1.50 |
-3.9% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.570 |
$28.50 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |