PnL (30d)

+$671

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$93

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

74%

169W / 59L · 181 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

280W / 124L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

409

across 51 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$21.64

avg win $39 · loss $6

Profit Factor

10.58

$741 won / $70 lost

Reward / Risk

6.68

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$19

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	74.1% 169W/59L	51	$39,440
🏛 Politics	55.6% 5W/4L	5	$1,907
💵 Economy	77.3% 17W/5L	4	$2,652
₿ Crypto	70.6% 12W/5L	2	$1,861
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/4L	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	500	0.725	$362.50	$32.50	+9.8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	300	0.350	$105.00	$3.00	+2.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	313	0.305	$95.36	$20.70	+27.7%
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?	Yes	50	0.570	$28.50	$-0.00	-0.0%