| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
90,000 |
0.540 |
$48,645.00 |
$3,645.00 |
+8.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
90,000 |
0.460 |
$41,355.00 |
$-3,645.00 |
-8.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
871 |
1.000 |
$870.79 |
$230.96 |
+36.1% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
850 |
0.983 |
$835.35 |
$96.28 |
+13.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? |
Yes |
585 |
0.915 |
$534.85 |
$146.78 |
+37.8% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
412 |
0.870 |
$358.44 |
$24.72 |
+7.4% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? |
Yes |
525 |
0.675 |
$354.37 |
$39.48 |
+12.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? |
Yes |
303 |
1.000 |
$302.79 |
$86.00 |
+39.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? |
Yes |
301 |
1.000 |
$300.70 |
$138.44 |
+85.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
255 |
1.000 |
$254.82 |
$60.04 |
+30.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.971 |
$232.92 |
$99.32 |
+74.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
227 |
0.995 |
$225.77 |
$51.03 |
+29.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
223 |
1.000 |
$222.43 |
$84.62 |
+61.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? |
Yes |
203 |
1.000 |
$203.12 |
$73.00 |
+56.1% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
409 |
0.480 |
$196.12 |
$61.12 |
+45.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
226 |
0.847 |
$190.97 |
$187.54 |
+5473.8% |
| Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
288 |
0.650 |
$186.93 |
$19.24 |
+11.5% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
409 |
0.445 |
$182.06 |
$-28.73 |
-13.6% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
179 |
0.837 |
$149.58 |
$2.18 |
+1.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? |
Yes |
147 |
1.000 |
$146.44 |
$78.37 |
+115.1% |
| Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
133 |
0.975 |
$129.74 |
$91.37 |
+238.1% |
| Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? |
Yes |
524 |
0.245 |
$128.46 |
$-5.63 |
-4.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
111 |
1.000 |
$110.98 |
$75.40 |
+211.9% |
| Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
320 |
0.338 |
$107.93 |
$-2.63 |
-2.4% |
| Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
130 |
0.730 |
$94.90 |
$1.62 |
+1.7% |