| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
90,000 |
0.540 |
$48,645.00 |
$3,645.00 |
+8.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
90,000 |
0.460 |
$41,355.00 |
$-3,645.00 |
-8.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
871 |
1.000 |
$870.79 |
$230.96 |
+36.1% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
850 |
0.987 |
$838.33 |
$99.26 |
+13.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? |
Yes |
585 |
0.995 |
$581.32 |
$193.25 |
+49.8% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
412 |
0.875 |
$360.50 |
$26.78 |
+8.0% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? |
Yes |
525 |
0.670 |
$351.74 |
$36.85 |
+11.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? |
Yes |
303 |
1.000 |
$302.79 |
$86.00 |
+39.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? |
Yes |
301 |
1.000 |
$300.70 |
$138.44 |
+85.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5? |
Yes |
283 |
0.985 |
$278.91 |
$232.87 |
+505.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
255 |
1.000 |
$254.82 |
$60.04 |
+30.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.997 |
$239.16 |
$105.56 |
+79.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? |
Yes |
247 |
0.960 |
$237.43 |
$91.00 |
+62.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
227 |
1.000 |
$226.91 |
$52.16 |
+29.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
223 |
1.000 |
$222.43 |
$84.62 |
+61.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5? |
Yes |
285 |
0.760 |
$216.46 |
$85.11 |
+64.8% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
409 |
0.500 |
$204.29 |
$69.30 |
+51.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5? |
Yes |
203 |
1.000 |
$203.12 |
$73.00 |
+56.1% |
| Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
288 |
0.660 |
$189.80 |
$22.11 |
+13.2% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
409 |
0.455 |
$186.15 |
$-24.64 |
-11.7% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
179 |
0.845 |
$151.01 |
$3.61 |
+2.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? |
Yes |
147 |
1.000 |
$146.44 |
$78.37 |
+115.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? |
Yes |
147 |
0.950 |
$139.50 |
$36.59 |
+35.6% |
| Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? |
Yes |
524 |
0.265 |
$138.94 |
$4.85 |
+3.6% |
| Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
133 |
0.979 |
$130.28 |
$91.90 |
+239.5% |