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Trader leaderboard/Started-with-20-USD

Started-with-20-USD

0x4388640a35b4ecebc33f8c73b58a2b988c615050
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$364
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$25
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+18.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
29W / 6L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
79%
31W / 8L
Trades (30d)
39
across 13 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$33.09
avg win $86 · loss $59
Profit Factor
2.54
$600 won / $236 lost
Reward / Risk
1.45
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,076 · all-time $577,182

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.3% 574W/347L 375 $64,468
💵 Economy 42.9% 6W/8L 15 $1,542
🤖 Tech 2 $3
₿ Crypto 2 $56
🏛 Politics 1 $202

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

97 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $250M and $300M at market close on IPO day? No 492 0.988 $485.75 $39.91 +9.0%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? Yes 931 0.374 $348.71 $167.42 +92.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 368 0.855 $314.26 $119.46 +61.3%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? No 581 0.495 $287.68 $33.95 +13.4%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 300 0.885 $265.50 $61.50 +30.1%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by August 31? Yes 577 0.435 $251.16 $48.22 +23.8%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? No 396 0.620 $245.58 $-11.56 -4.5%
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? Yes 240 0.969 $232.74 $13.29 +6.1%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? No 339 0.685 $232.55 $103.88 +80.7%
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? No 313 0.660 $206.57 $5.01 +2.5%
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? Yes 422 0.455 $191.89 $-0.68 -0.4%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $18B? Yes 852 0.190 $161.82 $-1.58 -1.0%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by August 31? No 267 0.600 $160.39 $-26.69 -14.3%
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026? Yes 158 0.984 $155.47 $107.88 +226.7%
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30? Yes 853 0.178 $151.78 $-23.50 -13.4%
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 Zepbound sales be above $4.5B? No 513 0.290 $148.77 $20.28 +15.8%
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? No 200 0.720 $144.00 $17.11 +13.5%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day? No 125 1.000 $125.21 $37.25 +42.3%
Amazon 2026 capex above $210B? Yes 173 0.695 $120.17 $38.17 +46.6%
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <87.5%? No 189 0.625 $118.12 $45.26 +62.1%
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? Yes 186 0.560 $104.03 $3.18 +3.1%
Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 417 0.235 $98.06 $15.57 +18.9%
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 200 0.490 $98.00 $10.00 +11.4%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No 116 0.825 $95.71 $38.93 +68.6%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? Yes 170 0.555 $94.35 $18.85 +25.0%