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Trader leaderboard/Started-with-20-USD

Started-with-20-USD

0x4388640a35b4ecebc33f8c73b58a2b988c615050
PnL (30d)
+$7,098
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,509
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+14.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
574W / 347L · 183 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
698W / 403L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
1,104
across 375 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$23.27
avg win $81 · loss $50
Profit Factor
2.06
$13,806 won / $6,709 lost
Reward / Risk
1.61
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$366
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,672 · all-time $575,778

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.3% 574W/347L 375 $64,468
💵 Economy 42.9% 6W/8L 15 $1,542
🤖 Tech 2 $3
₿ Crypto 2 $56
🏛 Politics 1 $202

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

88 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $250M and $300M at market close on IPO day? No 492 0.988 $485.75 $39.91 +9.0%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? Yes 931 0.373 $347.32 $166.02 +91.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 368 0.855 $314.26 $119.46 +61.3%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? No 581 0.505 $293.49 $39.76 +15.7%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 300 0.885 $265.50 $61.50 +30.1%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by August 31? Yes 577 0.450 $259.82 $56.88 +28.0%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? No 396 0.600 $237.65 $-19.48 -7.6%
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? Yes 240 0.969 $232.74 $13.29 +6.1%
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? Yes 500 0.460 $230.00 $1.70 +0.7%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? No 339 0.640 $217.27 $88.60 +68.9%
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? No 313 0.655 $205.01 $3.44 +1.7%
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026? Yes 158 0.984 $155.47 $107.88 +226.7%
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30? Yes 853 0.178 $151.78 $-23.50 -13.4%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by August 31? No 267 0.560 $149.70 $-37.38 -20.0%
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q2 Zepbound sales be above $4.5B? No 513 0.290 $148.77 $20.28 +15.8%
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day? No 125 1.000 $125.21 $37.25 +42.3%
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? No 200 0.620 $124.00 $-2.89 -2.3%
Amazon 2026 capex above $210B? Yes 173 0.695 $120.17 $38.17 +46.6%
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? Yes 186 0.560 $104.03 $3.18 +3.1%
Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 417 0.235 $98.06 $15.57 +18.9%
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 200 0.490 $98.00 $10.00 +11.4%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? Yes 170 0.565 $96.03 $20.53 +27.2%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No 116 0.825 $95.71 $38.93 +68.6%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31? Yes 292 0.315 $92.01 $33.99 +58.6%
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <87.5%? No 189 0.475 $89.77 $16.91 +23.2%