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Trader leaderboard/M888

M888

0x43440ab002eaac9fede6f9d21bea96d84228f90d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,367
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$462
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+17.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
37%
13W / 22L · 43 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
28W / 50L
Trades (30d)
78
across 15 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$195.30
avg win $354 · loss $17
Profit Factor
27.90
$1,418 won / $51 lost
Reward / Risk
20.92
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,890 · all-time $11,141,300

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 69.3% 190W/84L 58 $163,029
🏛 Politics 3 $746

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 200,000 0.790 $158,100.00 $58,100.00 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 200,000 0.209 $41,900.00 $-58,100.00 -58.1%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 3,407 0.987 $3,361.43 $302.26 +9.9%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No 2,377 0.790 $1,877.73 $257.46 +15.9%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? No 1,547 0.785 $1,214.70 $233.89 +23.8%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 2,225 0.515 $1,146.01 $-144.69 -11.2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No 12,327 0.090 $1,109.40 $-1,332.76 -54.6%
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? No 963 0.925 $891.03 $55.80 +6.7%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 1,908 0.385 $734.59 $134.57 +22.4%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 1,618 0.325 $525.73 $-72.78 -12.2%
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 4,880 0.105 $512.44 $-72.57 -12.4%
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? Yes 534 0.925 $493.88 $93.44 +23.3%
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? Yes 2,159 0.225 $485.68 $-152.16 -23.9%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 2,693 0.135 $363.61 $-202.93 -35.8%
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? No 396 0.885 $350.65 $29.60 +9.2%
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 2,168 0.110 $238.47 $-48.91 -17.0%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes 2,341 0.085 $199.01 $-208.91 -51.2%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes 500 0.395 $197.50 $42.50 +27.4%
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No 1,953 0.100 $195.33 $-67.00 -25.5%
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.160 $160.00 $70.00 +77.8%
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 500 0.225 $112.50 $-12.50 -10.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No 122 0.829 $100.77 $10.28 +11.4%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes 1,245 0.075 $93.35 $-95.28 -50.5%
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 2,747 0.025 $67.30 $-157.40 -70.0%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 2,722 0.024 $63.96 $-418.79 -86.8%