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Trader leaderboard/M888

M888

0x43440ab002eaac9fede6f9d21bea96d84228f90d
PnL (30d)
+$4,181
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$650
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
190W / 84L · 141 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
225W / 188L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
415
across 58 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$110.02
avg win $193 · loss $121
Profit Factor
4.44
$5,395 won / $1,215 lost
Reward / Risk
1.59
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,820 · all-time $11,141,230

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 69.3% 190W/84L 58 $163,029
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $882
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $135

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 200,000 0.790 $158,100.00 $58,100.00 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 200,000 0.209 $41,900.00 $-58,100.00 -58.1%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 3,407 0.987 $3,361.43 $302.26 +9.9%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No 2,377 0.790 $1,877.73 $257.46 +15.9%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? No 1,547 0.745 $1,152.81 $171.99 +17.5%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 2,225 0.515 $1,146.01 $-144.69 -11.2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No 12,327 0.085 $1,047.77 $-1,394.40 -57.1%
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? No 963 0.925 $891.03 $55.80 +6.7%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 1,908 0.400 $763.21 $163.19 +27.2%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 1,618 0.325 $525.73 $-72.78 -12.2%
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 4,880 0.105 $512.44 $-72.57 -12.4%
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? Yes 534 0.930 $496.55 $96.11 +24.0%
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? Yes 2,159 0.225 $485.68 $-152.16 -23.9%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 2,693 0.135 $363.61 $-202.93 -35.8%
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? No 396 0.885 $350.65 $29.60 +9.2%
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 2,168 0.110 $238.47 $-48.91 -17.0%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes 500 0.410 $205.00 $50.00 +32.3%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes 2,341 0.085 $199.01 $-208.91 -51.2%
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No 1,953 0.100 $195.33 $-67.00 -25.5%
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.155 $155.00 $65.00 +72.2%
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 500 0.215 $107.50 $-17.50 -14.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? No 122 0.829 $100.77 $10.28 +11.4%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes 1,245 0.075 $93.35 $-95.28 -50.5%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 2,722 0.025 $66.68 $-416.07 -86.2%
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes 380 0.165 $62.70 $6.80 +12.2%