Toncar16
0x41583f2efc720b8e2682750fffb67f2806fece9f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,722
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$228
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
71W / 78L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
85W / 85L
Trades (30d)
170
across 20 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$114.81
avg win $184 · loss $376
Profit Factor
0.43
$1,289 won / $3,011 lost
Reward / Risk
0.49
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$117
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $20,143 · all-time $4,378,929
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
51.6%
262W/246L
|
76 |
$79,804 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
11.8%
2W/15L
|
3 |
$3,121 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
6,224 |
0.155 |
$964.67 |
$160.69 |
+20.0% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
1,355 |
0.600 |
$812.88 |
$210.32 |
+34.9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
697 |
0.450 |
$313.51 |
$-86.48 |
-21.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
615 |
0.443 |
$271.99 |
$-20.24 |
-6.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
5,168 |
0.045 |
$232.56 |
$-814.56 |
-77.8% |