Toncar16
0x41583f2efc720b8e2682750fffb67f2806fece9f
PnL (30d)
+$536
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$784
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
262W / 246L · 95 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
315W / 286L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
603
across 76 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$9.24
avg win $253 · loss $203
Profit Factor
1.09
$6,837 won / $6,301 lost
Reward / Risk
1.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$117
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,529 · all-time $4,378,315
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
51.6%
262W/246L
|
76 |
$79,804 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
11.8%
2W/15L
|
3 |
$3,121 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
6,224 |
0.160 |
$995.78 |
$191.81 |
+23.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
1,355 |
0.595 |
$806.10 |
$203.54 |
+33.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
697 |
0.460 |
$320.48 |
$-79.52 |
-19.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
5,168 |
0.045 |
$232.56 |
$-814.56 |
-77.8% |