PnL (30d)

+$24

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

18%

43W / 200L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

19%

47W / 203L

Trades (30d)

250

across 35 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$0.81

avg win $19 · loss $5

Profit Factor

1.22

$131 won / $108 lost

Reward / Risk

3.83

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	13.5% 67W/431L	146	$824
🏛 Politics	—	1	$1
🎬 Culture	—	1	$1

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	130	0.063	$8.19	$-1.51	-15.6%
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	60	0.023	$1.38	$-2.22	-61.7%
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	10	0.100	$1.00	$0.30	+42.8%
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	15	0.068	$1.00	$0.02	+2.1%
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	5	0.105	$0.53	$0.26	+99.0%
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	5	0.029	$0.15	$-0.15	-50.8%