PnL (30d)

−$57

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

13%

67W / 431L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

14%

71W / 434L

Trades (30d)

505

across 146 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.41

avg win $12 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.78

$205 won / $263 lost

Reward / Risk

5.65

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	13.5% 67W/431L	146	$824
🏛 Politics	—	1	$1
🎬 Culture	—	1	$1

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	130	0.063	$8.19	$-1.51	-15.6%
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	60	0.025	$1.47	$-2.13	-59.2%
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	10	0.102	$1.01	$0.31	+45.0%
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	15	0.069	$1.01	$0.03	+2.8%
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	5	0.106	$0.53	$0.27	+100.0%
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in August 2026?	Yes	5	0.032	$0.16	$-0.14	-47.5%