markdenes
0x408911c64f4027be18c9bc1f64540abe760a99d5
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
1W / 1L · 23 open
Win Return (30d)
32%
8W / 17L
Trades (30d)
25
across 5 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$1.39
avg win $12 · loss $15
Profit Factor
0.81
$12 won / $15 lost
Reward / Risk
0.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,193 · all-time $1,132,902
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.002 |
$10.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
997 |
0.009 |
$9.47 |
$5.10 |
+116.7% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.002 |
$7.50 |
$-2.50 |
-25.0% |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.002 |
$6.00 |
$-2.00 |
-25.0% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
3,750 |
0.001 |
$1.88 |
$-13.26 |
-87.6% |