markdenes
0x408911c64f4027be18c9bc1f64540abe760a99d5
PnL (30d)
−$43
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-31.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
2%
1W / 58L · 86 open
Win Return (30d)
10%
8W / 76L · 61 open
Trades (30d)
145
across 11 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
−$8.65
avg win $12 · loss $14
Profit Factor
0.22
$12 won / $55 lost
Reward / Risk
0.88
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,000 · all-time $1,132,708
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.002 |
$10.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
997 |
0.009 |
$9.47 |
$5.10 |
+116.7% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.002 |
$7.50 |
$-2.50 |
-25.0% |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.002 |
$6.00 |
$-2.00 |
-25.0% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
3,750 |
0.001 |
$1.88 |
$-13.26 |
-87.6% |