| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
25,000 |
0.540 |
$13,512.50 |
$1,012.50 |
+8.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
25,000 |
0.460 |
$11,487.50 |
$-1,012.50 |
-8.1% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
3,000 |
0.945 |
$2,835.00 |
$105.00 |
+3.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
3,000 |
0.845 |
$2,535.00 |
$175.00 |
+7.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
13,143 |
0.165 |
$2,168.61 |
$-65.72 |
-2.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.635 |
$1,904.99 |
$-105.00 |
-5.2% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
1,500 |
0.987 |
$1,479.75 |
$100.75 |
+7.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
5,000 |
0.215 |
$1,075.00 |
$-734.99 |
-40.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
7,000 |
0.145 |
$1,015.03 |
$-942.69 |
-48.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.555 |
$554.99 |
$225.00 |
+68.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? |
Yes |
300 |
0.991 |
$297.29 |
$48.30 |
+19.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.865 |
$43.25 |
$2.25 |
+5.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
1 |
0.625 |
$0.68 |
$0.03 |
+4.2% |