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0x404a0b6396080a5e97f08982c25d6da14b13575d
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$468
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$28
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-13.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
51W / 58L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
51W / 61L
Trades (30d)
112
across 35 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$13.77
avg win $40 · loss $82
Profit Factor
0.62
$762 won / $1,230 lost
Reward / Risk
0.49
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$21
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $208 · all-time $412,765
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
2,000 |
0.816 |
$1,631.00 |
$631.00 |
+63.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.184 |
$369.00 |
$-631.00 |
-63.1% |
| ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31? |
No |
150 |
0.680 |
$102.00 |
$17.50 |
+20.7% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? |
No |
104 |
0.675 |
$70.31 |
$20.31 |
+40.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
66 |
0.735 |
$48.36 |
$-1.64 |
-3.3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? |
No |
93 |
0.475 |
$43.98 |
$-6.02 |
-12.0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
28 |
0.470 |
$13.04 |
$-6.96 |
-34.8% |
| Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
Yes |
21 |
0.380 |
$7.82 |
$-2.05 |
-20.7% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
56 |
0.075 |
$4.17 |
$-5.83 |
-58.3% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
125 |
0.025 |
$3.12 |
$-6.88 |
-68.8% |