Log in
Trader leaderboard/katanaAob

katanaAob

0x3f4bab51c0894611045d5faa7cc9605b3b45f574
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$23
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$25
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
62W / 13L · 97 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
119W / 53L
Trades (30d)
172
across 34 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$1.52
avg win $6 · loss $21
Profit Factor
0.73
$62 won / $84 lost
Reward / Risk
0.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$83
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $810 · all-time $207,305

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 25.9% 127W/364L 101 $6,561
🏛 Politics 42.1% 8W/11L 19 $576
💵 Economy 100.0% 3W/0L 5 $59
₿ Crypto 3 $38
🤖 Tech 2 $8
⚽ Sports 1 $4
🎬 Culture 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 1,948 0.883 $1,721.13 $103.41 +6.4%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 2,068 0.816 $1,686.33 $123.96 +7.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2,077 0.184 $383.25 $-122.44 -24.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,948 0.117 $226.90 $-113.02 -33.2%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 280 0.603 $168.85 $-32.71 -16.2%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 153 0.945 $144.32 $11.11 +8.3%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 296 0.356 $105.47 $26.50 +33.6%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 75 0.992 $74.40 $2.80 +3.9%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes 101 0.690 $69.51 $41.30 +146.5%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 70 0.950 $66.16 $8.59 +14.9%
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? Yes 133 0.490 $65.22 $44.60 +216.3%
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 64 0.974 $62.32 $3.77 +6.4%
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 51 0.785 $40.03 $-1.56 -3.7%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 34 0.995 $33.83 $6.32 +23.0%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 30 0.980 $29.39 $0.32 +1.1%
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No 115 0.215 $24.72 $-1.27 -4.9%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 50 0.485 $24.25 $3.08 +14.6%
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No 28 0.800 $22.05 $3.86 +21.2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 397 0.055 $21.84 $-5.96 -21.4%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 50 0.365 $18.25 $0.25 +1.4%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 130 0.135 $17.55 $0.65 +3.8%
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes 66 0.260 $17.22 $2.22 +14.8%
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 66 0.220 $14.48 $-5.40 -27.2%
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 56 0.245 $13.72 $-4.13 -23.1%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 20 0.675 $13.57 $0.10 +0.7%