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Trader leaderboard/katanaAob

katanaAob

0x3f4bab51c0894611045d5faa7cc9605b3b45f574
PnL (30d)
−$248
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$41
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
24%
118W / 364L · 216 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
242W / 456L
Trades (30d)
698
across 101 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$4.27
avg win $6 · loss $16
Profit Factor
0.43
$185 won / $433 lost
Reward / Risk
0.37
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$136
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $810 · all-time $207,305

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 24.5% 118W/364L 101 $6,561
🏛 Politics 35.3% 6W/11L 20 $619
💵 Economy 100.0% 6W/0L 5 $81
₿ Crypto 3 $38
🤖 Tech 2 $8
⚽ Sports 1 $4
🎬 Culture 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 1,948 0.883 $1,721.13 $103.41 +6.4%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 2,068 0.816 $1,686.33 $123.96 +7.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2,077 0.184 $383.25 $-122.44 -24.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,948 0.117 $226.90 $-113.02 -33.2%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 280 0.605 $169.41 $-32.15 -15.9%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 153 0.954 $145.62 $12.41 +9.3%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 296 0.358 $106.06 $27.09 +34.3%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 75 0.998 $74.81 $3.21 +4.5%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes 101 0.685 $69.01 $40.81 +144.7%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 70 0.954 $66.40 $8.84 +15.3%
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? Yes 133 0.495 $65.88 $45.27 +219.5%
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 64 0.975 $62.35 $3.81 +6.5%
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 51 0.790 $40.29 $-1.30 -3.1%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 34 0.997 $33.88 $6.37 +23.2%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 30 0.980 $29.39 $0.32 +1.1%
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No 115 0.215 $24.72 $-1.27 -4.9%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 50 0.485 $24.25 $3.08 +14.6%
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No 28 0.795 $21.92 $3.72 +20.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 397 0.055 $21.84 $-5.96 -21.4%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 50 0.365 $18.25 $0.25 +1.4%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 130 0.135 $17.55 $0.65 +3.8%
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes 66 0.260 $17.22 $2.22 +14.8%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 71 0.225 $15.97 $-7.20 -31.1%
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 56 0.255 $14.28 $-3.57 -20.0%
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 66 0.215 $14.15 $-5.73 -28.8%