| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
23,236 |
0.040 |
$917.84 |
$-26.88 |
-2.8% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
65,494 |
0.011 |
$753.18 |
$-211.68 |
-21.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
6,343 |
0.117 |
$738.91 |
$-72.16 |
-8.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,935 |
0.184 |
$357.04 |
$-26.31 |
-6.9% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
580 |
0.615 |
$356.98 |
$-14.56 |
-3.9% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
51,277 |
0.006 |
$333.30 |
$-104.20 |
-23.8% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
50,102 |
0.006 |
$325.67 |
$-103.61 |
-24.1% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
Yes |
9,986 |
0.033 |
$324.53 |
$-79.40 |
-19.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
3,362 |
0.095 |
$319.37 |
$-134.47 |
-29.6% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
5,350 |
0.055 |
$294.24 |
$-95.22 |
-24.4% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
44,897 |
0.006 |
$291.83 |
$-92.62 |
-24.1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
Yes |
7,748 |
0.037 |
$290.56 |
$-41.82 |
-12.6% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
57,387 |
0.005 |
$286.93 |
$-141.34 |
-33.0% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
11,112 |
0.025 |
$282.26 |
$-49.01 |
-14.8% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
11,406 |
0.020 |
$228.11 |
$-100.58 |
-30.6% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
71,239 |
0.003 |
$213.72 |
$-116.55 |
-35.3% |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? |
Yes |
3,171 |
0.067 |
$212.43 |
$-15.39 |
-6.8% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? |
No |
523 |
0.400 |
$209.32 |
$-9.49 |
-4.3% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
25,880 |
0.007 |
$194.10 |
$-110.20 |
-36.2% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
77,297 |
0.003 |
$193.24 |
$-231.81 |
-54.5% |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
41,857 |
0.004 |
$188.36 |
$-235.28 |
-55.5% |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
27,251 |
0.006 |
$177.13 |
$-54.53 |
-23.5% |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
Yes |
7,288 |
0.024 |
$171.27 |
$-210.08 |
-55.1% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
17,853 |
0.009 |
$169.60 |
$-41.83 |
-19.8% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
15,993 |
0.011 |
$167.93 |
$-72.18 |
-30.1% |