PnL (30d)

+$140

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$769

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

156W / 0L · 12,254 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

8,580W / 3,830L

Trades (30d)

12,410

across 101 markets · ~123 per market

EV / position

+$46.67

avg win $47

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	100.0% 156W/0L	101	$27,131
🏛 Politics	100.0% 5W/0L	55	$4,337
💵 Economy	100.0% 5W/0L	8	$708
🤖 Tech	—	5	$543
🌤 Weather	—	1	$127
🔬 Science	—	1	$127

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

95 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	23,236	0.040	$917.84	$-26.88	-2.8%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	65,494	0.011	$753.18	$-211.68	-21.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	6,343	0.117	$738.91	$-72.16	-8.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,935	0.184	$357.04	$-26.31	-6.9%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	580	0.615	$356.98	$-14.56	-3.9%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	51,277	0.006	$333.30	$-104.20	-23.8%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50,102	0.006	$325.67	$-103.61	-24.1%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	9,984	0.033	$324.46	$-79.40	-19.7%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	3,362	0.095	$319.37	$-134.47	-29.6%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	5,350	0.055	$294.24	$-95.22	-24.4%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	44,897	0.006	$291.83	$-92.62	-24.1%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	7,748	0.037	$290.56	$-41.82	-12.6%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	57,387	0.005	$286.93	$-141.34	-33.0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	11,112	0.025	$282.26	$-49.01	-14.8%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	11,406	0.020	$228.11	$-100.58	-30.6%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	71,239	0.003	$213.72	$-116.55	-35.3%
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	3,171	0.067	$212.43	$-15.39	-6.8%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	523	0.400	$209.32	$-9.49	-4.3%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	25,880	0.007	$194.10	$-110.20	-36.2%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	77,297	0.003	$193.24	$-231.81	-54.5%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	41,857	0.004	$188.36	$-235.28	-55.5%
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	27,251	0.006	$177.13	$-54.53	-23.5%
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	Yes	607	0.285	$173.00	$95.20	+122.3%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	7,288	0.024	$171.27	$-210.08	-55.1%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	17,853	0.009	$169.60	$-41.83	-19.8%