EmeraldEdge
0x3eccb67e467ab5cade77e17fe8b407450d691d30
PnL (30d)
−$1,900
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$84
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
584W / 311L · 76 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
617W / 349L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
971
across 139 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$16.38
avg win $26 · loss $107
Profit Factor
0.52
$2,065 won / $3,965 lost
Reward / Risk
0.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$934
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,089 · all-time $639,803
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? |
No |
184 |
0.840 |
$154.17 |
$-2.92 |
-1.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
105 |
0.840 |
$88.47 |
$11.57 |
+15.0% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
Yes |
60 |
0.780 |
$46.80 |
$19.80 |
+73.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
Yes |
280 |
0.115 |
$32.20 |
$-105.00 |
-76.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
40 |
0.505 |
$20.20 |
$-0.80 |
-3.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.987 |
$14.51 |
$1.81 |
+14.2% |
| Will Trump say "Smithsonian" in August? |
Yes |
20 |
0.330 |
$6.60 |
$-1.60 |
-19.5% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 1, 2026? |
Yes |
69 |
0.040 |
$2.71 |
$-41.18 |
-93.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.024 |
$1.41 |
$-26.39 |
-94.9% |