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Trader leaderboard/insidero

insidero

0x3eae62bde2d83aba0fe84018921b2693ec645e6d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$162
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
3W / 3L · 90 open
Win Return (30d)
34%
33W / 63L
Trades (30d)
96
across 14 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$40.41
avg win $83 · loss $2
Profit Factor
47.53
$165 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
47.53
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,684 · all-time $954,155

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 83.3% 20W/4L 29 $27,746
🏛 Politics 100.0% 2W/0L 4 $5,148

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

48 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 14,852 0.955 $14,183.78 $451.30 +3.3%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 3,781 0.949 $3,585.87 $190.61 +5.6%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No 2,888 0.956 $2,760.65 $36.21 +1.3%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 1,687 0.968 $1,631.93 $180.22 +12.4%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 1,476 0.963 $1,420.23 $45.09 +3.3%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 2,205 0.603 $1,329.62 $-285.11 -17.7%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 1,115 0.945 $1,053.53 $47.47 +4.7%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,500 0.675 $1,012.53 $-7.50 -0.7%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 1,033 0.979 $1,010.90 $19.38 +2.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 1,000 0.968 $967.50 $-3.50 -0.4%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 696 0.979 $680.95 $6.42 +1.0%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 652 0.966 $629.44 $62.30 +11.0%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes 350 0.925 $323.74 $9.75 +3.1%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 889 0.356 $316.95 $-27.11 -7.9%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 281 0.955 $268.31 $21.07 +8.5%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 350 0.665 $232.75 $19.25 +9.0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,918 0.117 $223.43 $-102.60 -31.5%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 200 0.986 $197.09 $136.10 +223.1%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 3,690 0.037 $138.37 $14.74 +11.9%
Will James Fishback win 15–20% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No 154 0.820 $125.87 $7.42 +6.3%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2,000 0.052 $105.00 $23.00 +28.0%
Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes 110 0.875 $96.25 $17.05 +21.5%
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes 438 0.210 $92.08 $-238.60 -72.2%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No 100 0.915 $91.50 $3.50 +4.0%
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes 320 0.245 $78.40 $-27.20 -25.8%