| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
14,852 |
0.955 |
$14,183.78 |
$451.30 |
+3.3% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
3,781 |
0.952 |
$3,597.21 |
$201.95 |
+5.9% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
No |
2,888 |
0.954 |
$2,754.88 |
$30.43 |
+1.1% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
1,687 |
0.966 |
$1,628.55 |
$176.85 |
+12.2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
1,476 |
0.963 |
$1,420.23 |
$45.09 |
+3.3% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
2,205 |
0.604 |
$1,330.72 |
$-284.00 |
-17.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
1,115 |
0.945 |
$1,053.53 |
$47.47 |
+4.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.675 |
$1,012.53 |
$-7.50 |
-0.7% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
1,033 |
0.980 |
$1,011.94 |
$20.41 |
+2.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,000 |
0.968 |
$967.50 |
$-3.50 |
-0.4% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
696 |
0.980 |
$681.30 |
$6.77 |
+1.0% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
652 |
0.965 |
$628.79 |
$61.65 |
+10.9% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
Yes |
350 |
0.925 |
$323.74 |
$9.75 |
+3.1% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
889 |
0.357 |
$317.39 |
$-26.67 |
-7.8% |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
No |
281 |
0.955 |
$268.31 |
$21.07 |
+8.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
350 |
0.665 |
$232.75 |
$19.25 |
+9.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,918 |
0.117 |
$223.43 |
$-102.60 |
-31.5% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
200 |
0.974 |
$194.79 |
$133.80 |
+219.4% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
3,690 |
0.037 |
$138.37 |
$14.74 |
+11.9% |
| Will James Fishback win 15–20% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? |
No |
154 |
0.820 |
$125.87 |
$7.42 |
+6.3% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.052 |
$105.00 |
$23.00 |
+28.0% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
438 |
0.225 |
$98.66 |
$-232.03 |
-70.2% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? |
Yes |
110 |
0.875 |
$96.25 |
$17.05 |
+21.5% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.915 |
$91.50 |
$3.50 |
+4.0% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.165 |
$82.50 |
$-137.50 |
-62.5% |