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Trader

0x3e9cb09c257f2f81962164717567f2bd091ab879
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
4W / 0L
Trades (30d)
4
across 2 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.67
avg win $1
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,277 · all-time $165,087

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.0% 70W/62L 62 $3,856
🏛 Politics 4 $268
🌤 Weather 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $12

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No 418 0.650 $271.44 $-10.70 -3.8%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 3,089 0.065 $200.81 $-83.18 -29.3%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 66 0.325 $21.38 $-3.62 -14.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes 40 0.125 $5.00 $-1.40 -21.9%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes 51 0.085 $4.33 $-1.78 -29.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 30 0.135 $4.00 $-0.00 -0.1%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes 13 0.125 $1.67 $-0.33 -16.7%
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes 8 0.120 $0.96 $-1.04 -52.0%
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 333 0.003 $0.83 $-2.17 -72.2%
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 250 0.003 $0.62 $-0.38 -37.5%
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 250 0.003 $0.62 $-0.38 -37.5%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? Yes 3 0.180 $0.56 $-0.44 -43.8%
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 333 0.002 $0.50 $-0.50 -50.0%
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes 3 0.163 $0.45 $-0.55 -55.0%
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? Yes 3 0.125 $0.43 $-1.57 -78.4%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 126 0.003 $0.31 $-0.69 -68.6%
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 200 0.002 $0.30 $-0.70 -70.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Yes 13 0.018 $0.23 $-0.77 -76.8%