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Trader leaderboard/54sfds

54sfds

0x3de2b1ede5947755ba19cc7630296062e7a0d073
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
37W / 38L · 789 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
567W / 250L · 47 open
Trades (30d)
864
across 105 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$0.38
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.29
$1 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
1.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $164 · all-time $255,196

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 20.7% 53W/203L 283 $1,375
🏛 Politics 37 $119
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/5L 24 $92
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/5L 22 $85
⚽ Sports 12 $18
🤖 Tech 5 $12
🎬 Culture 4 $10
🌤 Weather 3 $15
🔬 Science 3 $15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

164 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes 74 0.089 $6.60 $4.30 +186.8%
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Something 133 0.036 $4.77 $-0.23 -4.6%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No 5 0.949 $4.50 $2.50 +124.6%
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 5 0.875 $4.38 $1.48 +50.9%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 5 0.849 $4.23 $2.62 +163.7%
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? Yes 4 0.972 $4.07 $2.27 +126.0%
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? Yes 7 0.555 $3.96 $0.68 +20.6%
Valantis FDV above $150M one day after launch? No 5 0.785 $3.92 $3.62 +1208.3%
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? No 7 0.415 $3.11 $-0.19 -5.7%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 Under 12 0.255 $3.09 $1.88 +155.0%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes 5 0.580 $2.90 $1.30 +81.2%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5 Over 8 0.310 $2.58 $1.67 +181.8%
Peristeri vs. Aris BSA Aris BSA 5 0.499 $2.50 $2.49 +16532.4%
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 5 0.470 $2.41 $0.12 +5.3%
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes 3 0.850 $2.31 $1.06 +84.7%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Toronto FC next? Yes 5 0.447 $2.23 $2.18 +4365.0%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? Yes 7 0.320 $2.12 $-0.69 -24.6%
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? No 3 0.710 $2.01 $1.16 +136.7%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31? No 2 0.989 $1.98 $0.56 +39.3%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No 2 0.785 $1.93 $0.90 +86.6%
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Afghanistan 4 0.510 $1.85 $1.74 +1600.0%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes 5 0.380 $1.84 $-0.36 -16.4%
Concrete FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 4 0.415 $1.76 $1.09 +164.7%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%? Yes 79 0.022 $1.74 $1.38 +385.2%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No 4 0.485 $1.74 $0.43 +32.6%