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Trader leaderboard/54sfds

54sfds

0x3de2b1ede5947755ba19cc7630296062e7a0d073
PnL (30d)
−$42
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
21%
53W / 203L · 1,464 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
871W / 791L · 58 open
Trades (30d)
1,720
across 283 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$0.86
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.13
$7 won / $49 lost
Reward / Risk
0.95
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $164 · all-time $255,196

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 20.7% 53W/203L 283 $1,375
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 49 $153
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/5L 26 $102
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/5L 23 $108
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 17 $26
🤖 Tech 100.0% 2W/0L 8 $34
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 8 $13
🌤 Weather 3 $15
🔬 Science 3 $15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

164 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes 74 0.101 $7.46 $5.15 +223.8%
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Something 133 0.036 $4.77 $-0.23 -4.6%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No 5 0.950 $4.50 $2.50 +124.7%
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 5 0.875 $4.38 $1.48 +50.9%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 5 0.850 $4.23 $2.63 +164.0%
Valantis FDV above $150M one day after launch? No 5 0.795 $3.98 $3.67 +1225.0%
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? Yes 7 0.555 $3.96 $0.68 +20.6%
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? No 7 0.440 $3.30 $0.00 +0.0%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 Under 12 0.255 $3.09 $1.88 +155.0%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes 5 0.560 $2.80 $1.20 +75.0%
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? Yes 4 0.665 $2.79 $0.98 +54.6%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5 Over 8 0.305 $2.54 $1.62 +177.3%
Peristeri vs. Aris BSA Aris BSA 5 0.499 $2.50 $2.49 +16532.4%
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 5 0.470 $2.41 $0.12 +5.3%
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes 3 0.850 $2.31 $1.06 +84.7%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Toronto FC next? Yes 5 0.447 $2.23 $2.18 +4365.0%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31? No 2 0.989 $1.98 $0.56 +39.3%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? Yes 7 0.295 $1.96 $-0.86 -30.5%
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? No 3 0.685 $1.94 $1.09 +128.3%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No 2 0.785 $1.93 $0.90 +86.6%
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Afghanistan 4 0.510 $1.85 $1.74 +1600.0%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes 5 0.365 $1.77 $-0.43 -19.6%
Concrete FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 4 0.415 $1.76 $1.09 +164.7%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%? Yes 79 0.022 $1.74 $1.38 +385.2%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No 4 0.485 $1.74 $0.43 +32.6%