PnL (30d)

−$163

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-26.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

12%

75W / 533L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

12%

75W / 536L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

616

across 98 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$1.74

avg win $7 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.45

$133 won / $296 lost

Reward / Risk

1.77

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$19

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	11.9% 239W/1,775L	440	$3,719
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/120L	18	$31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

48 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 7?	Yes	10	0.580	$5.85	$-0.05	-0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.00	$3.05	+156.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	5	1.000	$5.00	$3.45	+222.4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.965	$4.83	$3.33	+221.7%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	10	0.455	$4.65	$-0.05	-1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7?	Yes	10	0.445	$4.49	$-0.36	-7.3%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	10	0.415	$4.25	$-0.15	-3.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	10	0.405	$4.15	$-0.15	-3.6%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	10	0.370	$3.84	$-0.16	-3.9%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?	Yes	10	0.320	$3.34	$-0.31	-8.6%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	10	0.325	$3.32	$0.07	+2.2%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.615	$3.08	$0.47	+18.3%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.545	$2.77	$-0.03	-0.9%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.545	$2.73	$0.38	+16.0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 7?	Yes	10	0.265	$2.70	$-0.10	-3.6%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.515	$2.58	$0.12	+5.1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.515	$2.58	$0.38	+17.0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.505	$2.52	$0.52	+26.2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.435	$2.18	$0.28	+14.8%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	Yes	10	0.200	$2.10	$-0.10	-4.8%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.410	$2.05	$0.10	+5.1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.405	$2.02	$-0.07	-3.6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.405	$2.02	$-0.28	-12.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.395	$2.02	$-0.03	-1.3%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 7?	Yes	5	0.385	$1.97	$-0.03	-1.3%